| Publications
"Storming to Partition: Croatia, the United States, and
Krajina in the Yugoslav War," with John Ashbrook
Small Wars & Insurgencies, Vol. 20, No. 3 (Fall 2009).
To many scholars and policymakers, “partition”
offers the most efficacious means of resolving ethnic-civil wars. Others
reject partition as a solution, citing flaws (both logical and empirical)
and harmful international implications should such an approach become
common-place. What has been missing from this debate is an understanding
of how the process of partition unfolds. In this article we examine
such a process, the case of the Krajina in the war in Yugoslavia, 1994-1995.
The U.S. aligned itself with Croatia against Serbs rebelling in the
Krajina region of Croatia. The culmination of this alignment occurred
in August 1995 when Croatian forces initiated “Operation Storm”
(Oluja) against Croatian Serb insurgents. Croatian forces effectively
cleansed the Krajina of its Serbian population. Eager to initiate a
diplomatic peace process, Washington welcomed the Croatian operation,
and largely because of Operation Storm, negotiations at Dayton became
possible.
Current Projects
Book-length
Strategic Success, Strategic
Failure: Information Structures and the American Experience of Limited
Warfare, in preparation.
This book develops a novel information-based
explanation of American strategic success and failure in post-World
War II limited warfare. Three strategic challenges constitute the book’s
focus: avoiding third party intervention, building and maintaining international
war-time coalitions, and avoiding or defeating insurgencies. The central
argument is that the effectiveness of war-fighting and post-war strategies
are strongly affected by a state’s information management capacities;
specifically policymakers’ access to information from multiple
institutional sources and the density of information channels connecting
relevant national security agencies within the government. Cases studies
include the limited wars in: Korea, Vietnam, the Persian Gulf, Kosovo,
and Iraq.
Article-length
"A Tale of Two Cultures: Political-Military Integration in the Vietnam War, 1964-1968," in preparation
Political-military integration in the Vietnam War followed a curious pattern: in the air war, the U.S. was able to tightly integrate its political objectives and military conduct, but in the ground war, the American military prosecuted a strategy that was both divorced from broader political objectives and immune from Washington’s influence. Under what conditions can leaders achieve political-military integration in limited wars? I argue that the nature of information management between the military and civilian leadership explains the pattern of political-military integration in the Vietnam War more completely than do explanations that focus on the organizational cultures of professional militaries.
Dissertation
“Information,
Diplomacy, and Strategy: Balancing Avoidance in Limited Warfare,”
Department of Politics, University of Virginia, 2006
Committee: Jeffrey W. Legro, Chair; Dale C. Copeland; John M. Owen; Melvyn
P. Leffler
Presentations
"Afghanistan 2009: A Strategic Appraisal," Ethics and Public Policy discussion series, Government and International Affairs, Sweet Briar College, 14 October 2009.
Previous
Projects
"Hypotheses
on Operational Power, the Offense-Defense Balance, and War,"
paper presented at the International Studies Association annual meeting,
2001.
The primary goal of this paper is the construction
of a set of falsifiable hypotheses on the relationship between the offense-defense
balance and the intensity of security competition between states. The
paper is divided in three sections. In the first section, I review the
literatures on military strategic interaction theory, offense-defense
theory, and preventive war theory, demonstrate their conceptual and
logical weaknesses, and suggest means of overcoming these limitations.
In the second section, I offer a new argument for the origins of war
and peace that synthesizes the strengths of these approaches and offer
the specific hypotheses deductively derived from the argument. In the
conclusion, I discuss potential contributions to the study of the origins
of war suggested by this analysis.
|